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Correspondence| Volume 66, ISSUE 3, e1-e2, August 01, 2009

Timing May Be Important, but Methodology Is Everything: A Commentary on Parker et al.

      Parker et al. (
      • Parker G.B.
      • Hilton T.M.
      • Walsh W.F.
      • Owen C.A.
      • Heruc G.A.
      • Olley A.
      • et al.
      Timing is everything: The onset of depression and acute coronary syndrome.
      ) argued that in predicting cardiac readmission or death following an acute coronary syndrome (ACS), “Timing is everything.” On the basis of multivariate logistic regression, they reported that patients who developed a depressive episode in the month following an ACS admission, whether incident or recurrent, had on average 7 times the odds (95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.21–22.17) for ACS readmission or cardiac mortality compared with patients with no depression before or after the ACS. Although not significant, the same multivariate analysis indicated that patients with incident depression post-ACS were potentially at much lower risk of ACS readmission or cardiac mortality than nondepressed patients (odds ratio = .58, 95% CI = .14–2.43). Parker and colleagues concluded that episodes of depression that emerge after an ACS, whether or not the post-ACS episodes are incident or recurrent, put patients at significantly greater risk of poor cardiovascular outcomes compared with patients without depression. The authors were not, but should have been, concerned about the magnitude of the odds ratio for post-ACS depression and, although nonsignificant, the direction of the effect for incident depression.
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      References

        • Parker G.B.
        • Hilton T.M.
        • Walsh W.F.
        • Owen C.A.
        • Heruc G.A.
        • Olley A.
        • et al.
        Timing is everything: The onset of depression and acute coronary syndrome.
        Biol Psychiatry. 2008; 64: 660-666
        • Cohen J.
        • Cohen P.
        • West S.G.
        • Aiken L.S.
        3rd ed. Applied Multiple Regression/Correlation Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Hilsdale, NJ2003

      Linked Article

      • Improving Methodology Improves Timing: Reply to Thombs et al.
        Biological PsychiatryVol. 66Issue 3
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          We thank Thombs and colleagues for their close reading of our article, which has identified an issue related to the inclusion and coding of “dummy” variables for certain effects. By prompting a reexamination of our data, their letter has helped to clarify further the role of post–acute coronary syndrome (ACS) depression.
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